RSS

Vancouver is country’s strongest hotel market, says Avison Young

As the Canadian hotel industry stabilized in 2024, Vancouver stood out from the pack as the nation’s strongest hotel market.

Among major Canadian markets last year, Vancouver had the highest performance in terms of occupancy (78.2 per cent), average daily rate or ADR ($285.21), and revenue per available room or RevPAR ($223.09), according to a Tuesday report from Avison Young (Canada) Inc.

Vancouver bested other hotel markets like Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal.

Despite Vancouver’s domination, Edmonton showed momentum, with the highest year-over-year growth in some performance measures. Edmonton’s occupancy grew 3.4 per cent, compared with Vancouver’s negative growth of 0.4 per cent. Edmonton’s RevPAR also grew 10.2 per cent, compared with Vancouver’s 6.6 per cent growth.

Avison Young said Tuesday there is growing demand for hotel assets, and that the volume of deals spiked last year. In 2024, major Canadian markets recorded nearly $1.3 billion in hotel transactions, a 46-per-cent increase from the previous year and an 88-per-cent surge compared with 2019.

“Despite economic headwinds, the sector demonstrated remarkable resilience, achieving its highest transaction volume since 2017 and exceeding the 10-year average of $1 billion,” said the report. 

The report acknowledged that 2024’s transaction count of 56 came in below the historical average of 76. 

“Provided economic trade wars don’t dramatically disrupt the industry, market performance in 2025 is expected to reflect stabilized levels through the year with moderate growth in both ADR and occupancy,” the report said.

The commercial real estate services firm flagged other variables, such as Canadian families curbing non-essential expenses such travel amid inflation. On the other hand, a declining loonie could attract leisure and corporate travel from abroad. Also, budget hotels face more challenges than luxury hotels amid a “flight to quality.”

Nonetheless, Avison Young said the overall hotel investment climate in Canada is “sound.” 

“There are several willing debt and equity participants that are interested in the sector,” the report said. “As income levels normalize across a range of property types, reasonable buyers and sellers will find the best investment opportunities.”

jmakan@biv.com

x.com/jamimakan

jamimakan.bsky.social

Read

Metro Vancouver's quick-service restaurants face multiple challenges heading into 2025

Demand for street-front quick-service restaurant (QSR) retail unit space remains high in Metro Vancouver, but the industry is experiencing a slowdown in available new franchises.

Michael Anderson, president and managing broker at Langley-based Northern Vision Realty Advisors, said there’s “more demand than space” for street-front QSR retail units in Metro Vancouver.

“Many quick-service restaurants require a kitchen exhaust,” said Anderson. “Those spaces are rare.”

Franchises are vying for spots in areas with residential towers – including Metrotown and Brentwood in Burnaby, and North Road in Coquitlam.

Anderson said drive-thru restaurants are becoming “a thing of the past” in Metro Vancouver except where chain restaurants own land.

“Very few developments are offering a drive-thru restaurant, and when that happens, there’s fierce competition,” Anderson told Western Investor. “Land is costly, so I think you’re seeing more of a shift to the street-front situation or the non-drive-thru.”

Sean Black, chief investment officer of Vancouver-based restaurant operator Happy Belly Food Group, is betting on more health-conscious appetites.

Happy Belly opened its newest Heal Wellness location in Vancouver’s Kitsilano neighbourhood in October, serving smoothies and açai bowls. It’s the third of 10 planned for B.C., adding to 12 existing locations across Canada. Black said the company plans to have about 20 locations by year-end, expanding to 40 by the end of 2025.

Black said Happy Belly is experiencing “healthy” sales growth due to “significant demand.”

“Emerging brands are stealing market share,” said Black. “I think people are changing where they’re spending.”

Happy Belly has 421 committed retail locations from master franchisees across Canada with several emerging brands – including Yolks – in its pipeline, opened or under construction. It’s planning to enter the U.S. market in 2025 with a Heal Wellness multi-unit deal in Florida.

Joe Sangha, franchisee partner for three new Heal Wellness locations in Kitsilano, West Abbotsford and Chilliwack, said he sees growth potential.

“It’s a simple, clean operation – very easy to operate with lower startup costs than other QSRs that require hood ventilation,” said Sangha, who is opening three more locations in Alberta.

Happy Belly’s support system was a draw for Sangha, who was B.C.’s first franchisee of Mucho Burrito, a brand Black held through Extreme Brandz, sold to MTY Food Group in 2013.

“Finding the right location isn’t always easy,” Sangha said. “The other issue is staffing. There’s high turnover in QSRs, which makes it challenging. Now with limitations on the [Temporary] Foreign Worker Program that specifically affect the QSR space, I think we’re in for some challenging times.”

Mark von Schellwitz, vice-president, Western Canada, for Restaurants Canada, said there’s a slowdown in new QSR franchise openings in B.C. due to lower discretionary income and higher operating costs.

“We’re seeing demand soften a little bit simply because of the troubles the industry is in, especially on the QSR side,” said von Schellwitz. “In QSR, your profit margins are so tiny. You need that heavy volume to make a profit in that business.”

Von Schellwitz said about 53 per cent of Restaurants Canada’s B.C. members are not making money, contributing to “a record number of bankruptcies in 2024.” Rising real estate and operating costs are the key factors.

Restaurants Canada’s Q3 report found that QSRs are disproportionately affected, with 23 per cent describing the business climate as “very poor.” This compares to nine per cent of full-service restaurant members. Of B.C.’s 15,000 restaurants, about 37 per cent are QSRs.

Von Schellwitz said leasing costs are “not sustainable” as rents continue to increase.

“You’ve got a lot of people closing their restaurants as a result of that. That is even more pronounced in the big urban centres where those lease rates have really increased substantially.”

Read

Cash flow appeals to manufactured home park investors

The housing crunch has bumped up the appeal of modular housing in many quarters, with the rapid pace of delivery making it ideal for temporary worker housing, urban centres grappling with homelessness, and – in an upscale version – hotels.

Some of the same factors are driving the appeal of manufactured housing parks, a low-cost housing option for close to 60,000 households in B.C. and the asset of choice for many new investors.

A case in point is Lakeview Terrace, a 22-pad manufactured home park overlooking Okanagan Lake in Summerland, which sold in May for just over $2 million. Geared to seniors, the park has changed hands on a regular basis as owners have stepped in, enjoyed the cash flow and traded up.

“Lakeview sold two years ago for $1.6 million, now it’s $2,050,000,” said Bill Summers of Lighthouse Realty Ltd. in Abbotsford. “It’s making $100,000 a year, so [the owners] were doing really well but now they figure all their relatives have huge parks so they’re going to go big, too.”

The gain in value is attributable to the steady revenue the parks generate and the upside in rents through turnover, especially in those geared to residents 55 years and older.

Lakeview’s lowest rent is $456 a month for a pad, but incoming tenants face rents of $650, an indication of how the market is changing.

The parks usually pay for themselves in 10 to 15 years but with rent increases, Summers says anyone who holds onto them will see “pure cash flow.”

 

Yet the affordable price versus multifamily units in town makes them an appealing housing option.

“The way housing is right now, parks are just a really good opportunity,” said Alan Johnson, vice-president with the Unique Properties Group at Colliers. “That’s why guys buy them; they’re just good long-term investments.”

But investors don’t have to buy the whole property. Some simply buy a unit, rent the pad, and lease them.

The park in Fernie had a model that sold for $290,000 and rents for $2,500 a month, including the $400 pad rental.

“[You’re] getting $2,100 a month less tax for a $290,000 investment. That’s pretty good, and you have really good security in parks,” he said.

Parks are governed by the Manufactured Home Park Tenancy Act and face similar controls on rents as other rental properties. But unlike multifamily rentals, landlords can chargeback the cost of city services, such as sewer, water and garbage collection.

“All that can be passed along to the tenants, which makes it nice,” Summers explained. “[And] increases can go in above the Residential Tenancy Branch increases, so you’re inflation-proof that way. You’re always going to stay ahead of the game.”

Eugen Klein of the Klein Group at Royal LePage Westside describes manufactured home parks as “recession-proof.”

“Most of them are excellent cash-flow properties, very good communities. They offer the best affordable type of housing,” he said. “I’ve never had a mobile home park that’s a bad investment or didn’t cash flow. Even ones that needed a full redo of their services for a million-plus dollars, people have spent the money.”

Klein typically handles three to four listings at any given time, primarily the result of long-time owners retiring.

Since park residents typically own the homes that sit on the rented pads, units are updated regularly and residents take pride in what they own.

“They’re built to better standards than detached homes are today. They’re not Trailer Park Boys anymore. No pressed board,” he said. “You have a different feel to the community because of that. From an investment perspective, that’s good.”
Klein, together with his parents, owns a manufactured home park in Merritt that’s been home to workers on the TransMountain pipeline as well as retirees and local families.

“We see a lot more people from the Lower Mainland and somewhat younger people,” he said.

There’s also been an influx of new residents to a park he’s listing in Nelson, while the Alder Bay RV Park and Marina in Port McNeill, another listing, has units geared to vacationers. Northern BC is starting to see parks with duplexes thanks to the modular nature of the units.

This creates new and alternative options for investors.

Read

B.C.’s RV parks and campgrounds face shifting challenges and opportunities

The landscape of campgrounds and recreational vehicle (RV) parks across B.C. continues to evolve in 2024 as investors eye these properties for their recreational value and redevelopment opportunities.

Listed for about $7.5 million, Beachcomber RV Resort in Central Saanich on Vancouver Island is a waterfront RV park and campground on nearly 10 acres in two land titles. The property—listed last summer at $8 million—includes 60 seasonal RV sites and a walkable beach. Its upper level, partially in the Agricultural Land Reserve (ALR), features a 1,176-square-foot house on a bluff with potential for single-family home redevelopment. The forested bluff rises from sea level to the upper bench, transitioning to agricultural land.

“There’s a corner of the upper property that’s in the ALR,” said Mark Lester, senior vice-president with the Unique Properties Group at Colliers International. “It shouldn’t affect the development of that upper portion because residential is permitted in the ALR.”

The RV park is on a lower terrace at sea level near a swimmable area. It’s not in the ALR. The site includes a 1,223-square-foot, two-bedroom caretaker’s home and resort office.

“There’s a huge opportunity for somebody to acquire it and actively work it, market it, and put some investment into it,” Lester told Western Investor. “What makes it unique is its waterfront.”

Beachcomber has operated seasonally for years under a renewable temporary use permit. Designated destination commercial in Central Saanich’s official community plan (OCP), the property can be rezoned to accommodate tourist commercial development, such as cabins or a boutique resort, per the OCP. Current zoning allows for luxury residential development.

Lester said RV park and campground sellers have higher expectations of values based on sales activity before and during the pandemic.

“Values went up during COVID and expectations haven’t fallen in a manner that corresponds to rising interest rates since then,” he explained.

As interest rates rose, the market softened, prices fell and sales slowed. According to Lester, higher interest rates, inflation, and ongoing global geopolitical issues have affected buyer perceptions and real estate risk profiles.

“We haven’t really seen the market turn back,” he explained. “A lot of people are sitting on their hands waiting for something to happen. I think expectations with the RV parks that I’ve seen are still up there. They’re harder to leverage.”

Agassiz-based Re/Max Nyda managing broker Freddy Marks said real estate deals are rare but more remote properties like Escott Bay Resort at Anahim Lake, which sold April 26 for $1.2 million, are “smoking deals” that have much to offer buyers.

“If they look at resorts and RV properties, there are great deals out there if you compare that to residential or other kinds of investments,” said Marks.

Located 325 kms west of Williams Lake, the 6.4-acre property features a 6,000-square-foot log lodge with a licensed dining room. The property includes 14 campsites spread over two service campgrounds, more than 1,000 feet of shoreline, a four-bedroom log chalet, several cabins, an equestrian area, boat dock, two RVs, boats and paddle board rentals.

Developing a pipeline of parks

Pathfinder Ventures Inc. (TSX-V:RV), a publicly listed company which launched Pathfinder Camp Resorts in 2021, has locations in Parksville, Fort Langley and Agassiz. The Fort Langley-based company recently announced plans to develop an RV park in Osoyoos with about 120 RV sites on six hectares (15 acres) of leased land on Osoyoos Lake. Currently working toward profitability, Pathfinder plans to offer pre-sales of new RVs and seasonally leased sites in Osoyoos this summer and be fully operational in 2025.

“This is going to be an opportunity for an RV owner to have more of a cottage-like experience,” said Pathfinder founder and CEO Joe Bleackley.

Pathfinder also recently announced plans to expand east with the right of first refusal and an agreement to manage four RV parks in Ontario and one in Nova Scotia. The resorts are mainly seasonal vacation properties with a short-term tourist component.

“By the end of this year, we hope to be operating at least nine RV parks,” Bleackley said, noting that Pathfinder is also eyeing Alberta resorts. “We’re looking at taking over management of specific parks where there is an opportunity to own in the future.”

Bleackley said there’s a shortage of RV parks in Canada, and he’s optimistic about growing demand.

“Because we have multiple locations, we’re creating a brand and an experience,” he said. “One day, we hope to be the Hilton of the campground space.”

Diversified approach

Located near Kelowna on Ellison Lake, Holiday Park Resort has 570 fully serviced leasehold and rental RV sites and 117 condos, both leasehold and timeshare. The 26-hectare (64-acre) resort doesn’t allow camping, but it has full-time security, pools, hot tubs, a recreation centre, equipment rentals, laundry facilities, a library, pickleball courts, a gym and a sauna. It’s also working on adding new amenities, including charging stations for electric vehicles (EVs) and e-bikes.

“We’ve got a big combination of people that have subleases here, we’ve got time share usage, we hotel out our condos,” according to the resort’s president and new owner Dawn McLaughlin.

Raging Okanagan wildfires were a major challenge last summer for the resort, which turned 40 in 2023.

“We had to basically close the resort down to any external people because the fires came within about a kilometre of us,” recalled McLaughlin, who has worked at the resort for 18 years, most recently as controller.

The resort was not part of a nearby evacuation but has taken precautions such as replacing combustible cedar hedges with metal fencing.

Falling outside of B.C.’s new provincial short-term rental restrictions, the resort has recently seen more customers staying longer term, largely due to the housing crisis and affordability issues.

“There’s a lot of people that have tried to downsize and purchase RVs to live in themselves or for rental purposes,” said McLaughlin.

“Softer season” predicted

Joss Penny, executive director of the British Columbia Lodging and Campgrounds Association (BCLCA), predicts a “slightly softer season” compared to summers during the pandemic. About 60 per cent of bookings comes from British Columbians.

“We’re seeing a definite change in booking patterns,” explained Penny. “Those booking patterns are a wait and see because of the wildfire seasons we’ve had.”

While BCLCA members currently report about 65 per cent booking—a decrease of about nine percentage point versus last year—Penny expects an increase to a typical 75 per cent occupancy this summer, but that will depend on wildfires.

Potential floods, cooler weather, inflation and fuel prices have also led to lower bookings, according to Penny, who added that the Bank of Canada’s recent interest rate cuts need time to take effect.

“We anticipate that in ’25 and ’26 we might see more of the same as what we’re seeing now,” he said.

During the pandemic, BCLCA members saw business increase about eight per cent over previous years, with most customers from B.C. and Alberta.

Changing demographics and expectations, such as more EV usage, are some of the new challenges, according to Penny.

“We’re seeing a move away from baby boomers being the largest group and moving toward Gen Z and millennials being the largest group of people that are camping. Their expectations are totally different when it comes to connectivity on Wi-Fi,” he said.

Read

Vancouver Island’s recreational property prices set to rise in 2024

Recreational property prices on Vancouver Island and across Western Canada will likely rise this year as many owners hang on to properties despite interest rates, short-term rental restrictions and a proposed capital gains tax increase, according to two key reports.

Royal LePage’s spring recreational property report predicts the average recreational home price to rise five per cent this year — with the median price for a single-family recreational home in B.C. at around $1.1 million.

According to Re/Max Canada’s cottage trends report, Canada’s recreational property market hasn’t seen a flood of listings. Re/Max predicts Western Canadian recreational properties could increase between five and 10 per cent in 2024.

Despite these predictions, new provincial short-term rental restrictions effective as of May 1 could cause some investors to offload their properties in B.C.

“The short-term rental regulation has affected the market a lot,” according to Judy Gray, owner of Re/Max Mid-Island Realty, who recently sold one property for $1.35 million, two units for $485,000 and $520,000, and a cottage for $540,000.

“There’s still a lot of interest here. People are a little bit nervous because they’re not sure about the changes of the short-term rentals and how that’s going to affect things moving forward,” she added.

Tofino and Ucluelet have divergent price trends related to the short-term rental restrictions and the planned federal capital gains increase, but according to Re/Max, both communities have shifted from a balanced to a buyer’s market.

Although exempt as a resort municipality, Tofino has opted into the provincial legislation, affecting two residential buildings. Ucluelet has opted out but is amending bylaws to ensure short-term rentals conform.

“Most short-term rental properties in Ucluelet are already zoned nightly rental and are not affected by the new legislation,” Gray told Western Investor. “Only nightly rental units attached to homes have had administrative fixes by (District of Ucluelet) council to continue to operate.”

A Leger survey commissioned by Re/Max found the short-term rental bans have not swayed recreational property owners to sell, and 58 per cent are holding onto their properties while about 29 per cent are looking to sell.

Proposed tax increases from 50 per cent to nearly 67 per cent on capital gains over $250,000 aren’t expected to spark a widespread flood of sales, Gray added, but she said six properties were recently listed for sale to beat the change, expected to take effect June 25.

“People are still putting their properties on the market to avoid the capital gains increase because they expect that it’s going to come back,” she said.

An uncertain climate

In the Comox Valley, buyers are often looking for active lifestyles — from mountain biking in Cumberland to winter sports at Mt. Washington. This trend grew during the pandemic, but Mt. Washington recreational property sales have since been declining due to interest rates.

Ryan Williams, owner of Ocean Pacific Realty, said recreational property sales in the region face another challenge — climate change. Global warming has been impacting winter sports while forest fires have affected summer recreation. These factors — and their associated fire hazards — are also increasing insurance rates on Mt. Washington, which has been experiencing low snow levels.

“The drying in the summer and warmer conditions in the winter are two major environmental issues for recreational property,” said Williams.

As far as capital gains changes, Williams said the effect on recreational properties depends on when a purchase was made.

“If they bought two, three, four years ago, they’re not going to see big gains,” he explained. “They’re going to see losses, probably, on Mt. Washington if it stays warm and we don’t get much snow.”

Read

Vancouver hotel occupancy, room rates top Canadian cities in May

Metro Vancouver hotels in May had the highest occupancy rate among large Canadian metropolises, at 83.9 per cent, with hoteliers in the region able to charge the highest average daily room rate in Canada: $317.41.

The city's hotel occupancy rate in May was also higher than the 82.9-per-cent rate seen last May, according to CoStar, a global provider of real estate data, analytics and news. CoStar in May 2023 pinned the average daily room rate in Metro Vancouver at $226.21, meaning that the average daily room rate in the region in May jumped 40.3 per cent year-over-year.

"There just have not been many hotels built over the last decade, and actually supply and inventory have contracted in the past decade [in Metro Vancouver,]" CoStar's national director of hospitality analytics, Laura Baxter, told BIV this afternoon.

May is the first month this year that CoStar's data shows a higher occupancy rate in Vancouver than in the same month in 2023, and it was also for the first full month in which new provincial rules for short-term rentals came into effect. 

The B.C. government's legislation, which took effect May 1, holds that short-term rentals are only allowed in the principal homes of hosts in 60 new B.C. communities. Another 17 communities newly chose to adopt those regulations even though they were exempt from the provincial legislation.

Rules for short-term rentals did not change in the City of Vancouver because that city since 2018 has limited short-term rentals to the principal residences of hosts, and charged licence fees. The B.C. government's new short-term rental rules do newly apply in many Metro Vancouver municipalities, such as Burnaby, New Westminster, Delta, North Vancouver, West Vancouver and Surrey.

The aim of B.C.'s legislation was to free up housing units for longer-term rentals to limit the rise in the average rental rates in the region for residents.

The Metro Vancouver hotel data for May includes information from 195 hotels that combine to have nearly 26,000 rooms across the Lower Mainland and into the Fraser Valley, Baxter said.

"I think it is too early to tell whether all of that growth [in the region's occupancy rate] is related to the new regulations on short-term rentals," she added.

Tighter vacancy at Metro Vancouver hotels in May has been a trend, given that in May 2022, the region's occupancy rate was only 76.5 per cent. 

Occupancy rates and average daily room rates in other major metropolises in Canada in May included, in order of highest occupancy:

  • Ottawa's 78.3-per-cent occupancy rate and $223.53 average daily room rate;

  • Toronto's 76.4-per-cent occupancy rate and $254.88 average daily room rate;

  • Montreal's 76-per-cent occupancy rate and $233.68 average daily room rate;

  • Edmonton's 67.3-per-cent occupancy rate and $152.98 average daily room rate; and

  • Calgary's 67-per-cent occupancy rate and $168.49 average daily room rate, according to CoStar.

Baxter said Vancouver's anticipated record-breaking cruise season for passengers is likely a contributing factor in the higher occupancy and room rates. 

Indeed, B.C.'s tourism economy blooms when spring arrives. The Vancouver Canucks' playoff run may also have prompted out-of-towners to visit Vancouver to attend games, and then stay in hotels

In July 2023, Vancouver hotel rooms charged an average $347.08 daily rate, which was the highest figure that CoStar had ever recorded for a major city in Canada. 

Baxter said there is "every possibility" that Metro Vancouver this summer will set a new record for the highest-ever average daily room rate for a city in Canada within a calendar month.

Read

Metro Vancouver land deals on hold as developers remain cautious

A precipitous decline in Metro Vancouver land sales last year could turn around this year, but developers are taking a long-term view with any purchases as market uncertainties continue.

“Developers need to replenish some of their inventory; that’s starting to happen,” said Justin Mitchell, an investment and development land broker with Goodman Commercial Inc. “The larger, experienced developers have been doing transactions and putting properties under contract.”

This marks a shift from last year, thanks in part to higher financing costs and land values that saw sellers reticent to lower price expectations in the wake of the post-pandemic surge in 2021.

A total of $3.3 billion worth of land changed hand in Metro Vancouver last year, according to Altus Group, including $1.9 billion transacted worth of residential land and $1.5 billion worth of ICI land.

Residential land sales slowed more sharply than commercial deals, falling 66 per cent versus a 55 per cent drop in ICI deals.

“There still pretty strong demand from industrial users to purchase and develop their own facilities, and a lot of that is driven by the fact that there’s still really good financing available to them from the banks,” Mitchell said. “[Residential] bank financing is still very difficult to get.”

Provincial pressure on municipalities to draft plans that show how they’re going to meet their housing targets underpin developer interest, with transit-oriented areas seeing a pick-up in activity.

But pricing is key.

While there’s been significant activity along the route of the Surrey-Langley SkyTrain line, the higher densities mandated for transit-oriented areas isn’t necessarily attractive to developers or the buyers they supply.

“When the transit line was announced, it freed up a lot of land,” said Neil Chrystal, president and CEO of Polygon Realty Ltd., a Vancouver developer with sites in the Fraser Highway corridor near the planned Fleetwood and Langley City Centre stations.

“[But] we’re focusing a lot on the woodframe as opposed to the highrise. Mostly we’re focused on the more attractive entry point for home buyers,” he said. “In today’s climate of higher rates, affordability becomes more of a challenge.”

With costs on concrete highrises typically about 15 to 20 per cent higher than for woodframe construction, the numbers don’t pencil out. This has pushed Polygon to seek opportunities beyond Metro Vancouver, such as a 1,400-acre tract in the Silverdale area of Mission it acquired in partnership with Madison Development Corp. in 2017.

Partnerships are also key to Vancouver-based Townline Homes Inc., which says high costs mean many sites aren’t viable even if land costs are nil.

“Our appetite is good, but cautious,” Townline president Daryl Simpson said. “But even with land at zero today, there’s a number of projects and a number of markets that simply don’t make sense given the significant environment of increasing costs that we operate in.”

These costs include government levies, as well as high prices for materials, labour and debt.

Townline hasn’t acquired any land recently, despite carefully scouting opportunities, but it is working with partners – both institutional groups and First Nations – to feed its development pipeline.

“In Metro Vancouver, South Vancouver Island and the Interior, you have institutional partners with a very low cost of capital that have land holdings and are looking for executional partners, and that’s an opportunity for someone like ourselves,” he said.

The challenges are familiar to Mitchell, who said developers are pursuing several strategies to make deals work.

“You can’t over-pay for a site at the moment,” he said. “Developers are definitely interested in purchasing properties if they’re priced really well – not just priced to market, but I think they need to feel like there’s a cushion if things are more difficult for longer.”

Some of the options include seeking out deals with longer completion timelines as well as distress sales that offer a hedge against future cost increases. A low price today promises to offset upward cost pressures down the road.

There are currently a lot of troubled sites on the market, said Tom Huang, managing partner with Tera West Properties Ltd. in Richmond, in part because of speculative buying by developers who now find themselves in a changed business environment.

On one hand, financing costs have increased significantly over the past two years, not only increasing developer costs but pushing residential buyers to the sidelines.

“With a market softening combined with record high interest rates for a record high duration, it’s been a deadly combination that together have killed a lot of developers,” Huang said.

Tera has been able to pick up several properties as a result. Earlier this year, for example, it picked up a site at West 28th Avenue in the Cambie corridor for $18 million. The previous developer had paid $23 million.

“The last developer paid so much for it, but that doesn’t mean we got a really good deal,” Huang said. “We simply got a project that works.”

And it will only work if the buyer demand doesn’t soften in the next couple of years.

The market today can bear a cost of about $1,400 per square foot for townhomes, Huang said, and if construction costs rise or the residential market softens, then the model breaks.

“We will very quickly be losing money,” he said.

Yet land remains in demand, simply because of the constraints facing the Lower Mainland. This has brought developers like Tera back, knowing that opportunities today are not likely to last.

“We know the market is likely near the bottom, so we’ve been active for almost a year now,” he said.

Signs of life are also being seen on Vancouver Island, thanks to a steady influx of buyers seeking more affordable housing options in a temperate climate.

While land is relatively plenty east of the Rockies, there is also optimism given the anticipated drop in interest rates.

This holds true for developments of all stripes, both residential as well as commercial.

“Rates have stabilized at or near the top, but as soon as we get a little bit of relaxation in rates, I think the buying activity will pick up quite a bit,” Chrystal said. “That will drive our purchase decisions.”

BMO Financial Group reported April 30 that 72 per cent of aspiring homeowners are waiting for the Bank of Canada to cut interest rates before buying, up four percentage points from a similar survey last year.

A drop in interest rates is also expected to drive investment in industrial properties in markets such as Lethbridge, where a conservative attitude has constrained construction.

“Land is going to notch up in its absorption here in the next couple of years,” said Josh Marti, a principal and senior associate in Avison Young’s Lethbridge office focused on industrial.

Lethbridge industrial vacancies are steady in the 4.1 per cent range, due in part to a lack of new construction and low appetite for the product that remains. New space is needed, but there was nothing to give tenants options. The only deals being done were for owner-occupiers.

Marti said that’s going to change, especially as interest rates start to edge down – something expected this summer, with the Bank of Canada’s next policy rate announcement due June 5. A lower financing cost will make it more economical for developers to move ahead, and help pull land deals forward.

“Pricing was getting more expensive, financing was more expensive … but those excuses are no longer there anymore,” Marti said. “There’s no inventory to be had, so you’re forced to build.”

Read

High B.C. hotel prices could fuel resurgence in camping

British Columbians wanting to travel within the province this summer put off by high hotel prices could fuel a resurgence in camping.

B.C. has more campgrounds than most jurisdictions across North America, with 1,039, according to the province's Ministry of Environment and Climate Change Strategy.

Better still for consumers, the government has improved its camping-reservation website, compared with pre-pandemic, thanks to the ministry investing money generated from reservation fees, or about $3.7 million annually, on a redesign in 2022.

The ministry frustrated countless wannabe campers in May 2020, when its website crashed as soon as it opened for bookings for the year.

Its new site is more robust, according to a ministry representative. It also limits reservations to a four-month window from the time of booking.

BIV in late April tried to book a camp site in August and found plenty of available sites at campgrounds.

Campsites can rent for around $23 per night, including taxes, before the $6-per-night reservation fee is tacked on.

In 2023, the government introduced a new “notify me” feature that enabled visitors to sign up for up to five alerts for reservable campgrounds. When specific campsites becomes available for desired dates, those who have signed up for alerts will get emails notifying them that they are available.

Not all B.C. campsites are able to be reserved during peak season. Of the province's approximately 11,000 "front-country" campsites, or those within one kilometre of a park road or highway, approximately 60 per cent can be reserved while the rest are rented on a first-come-first-served basis, according to the ministry.

The government delivers most camping in B.C.’s parks through agreements with private operators.

Those operators delivered more than $40M in services last year, according to the ministry. These costs were partially paid for through user fees, which produced around $29 million in 2023. The B.C. government then paid the private operators the remaining $11 million from other sources, according to the ministry.

gkorstrom@biv.com

twitter.com/GlenKorstrom

Read

Subway chain sold for US$9.55 billion

Subway has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by affiliates of Atlanta, Georgia-based Roark Capital, the fast-food restaurant chain announced today, August 24.

While not released, the sale price is reported to be US$9.55 billion by both Reuters and Bloomberg.

The transaction is a major milestone in Subway's multi-year transformation combining Subway's global presence and brand strength with Roark's expertise in restaurant and franchise business models, according to Subway.

Roark is a private equity firm with $37 billion in assets under management. Roark specializes in franchise and franchise-like businesses. According to reports, Roark beat out 20 other bidders for the Subway acquisition.

“This transaction reflects Subway's long-term growth potential, and the substantial value of our brand and our franchisees around the world," said John Chidsey, CEO of Subway in a statement. "Subway has a bright future with Roark, and we are committed to continuing to focus on a win-win-win approach for our franchisees, our guests and our employees."

Subway, founded nearly 60 years ago in the U.S., has more than 37,000 outlets in more than 100 countries and is the largest restaurant chain, by outlets, in the U.S. There is a total of 3,147 subway locations in Canada.

Read
Reciprocity Logo The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the GVR, the FVREB or the CADREB.